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{"id":10448,"date":"2020-02-26T23:56:46","date_gmt":"2020-02-26T23:56:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businessecon.org\/?p=10448"},"modified":"2023-08-14T13:09:53","modified_gmt":"2023-08-14T13:09:53","slug":"railroad-fund-update-02-26-2020-coronavirus-impact","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/valueinvestingnow.com\/2020\/02\/railroad-fund-update-02-26-2020-coronavirus-impact","title":{"rendered":"Railroad Fund \u2013 Update 02\/26\/2020 Coronavirus Impact"},"content":{"rendered":"

Railroad Fund – Update 02\/26\/2020 Coronavirus Impact<\/strong><\/span><\/h1>\n

\"Railroad<\/p>\n

The last two days have been expensive. Norfolk Southern’s<\/span><\/strong><\/a> value has dropped to $190.07. I currently have 49.060606 shares in the Railroad Fund bought at two different prices two days ago. My total investment is $10,000. Thus, the current market value is $9,324.95 meaning the fund has decreased $675.05 in two days!<\/span><\/p>\n

Many of you are wondering what I am going to do now, since this is a sudden drop in value. The answer is “Nothing<\/strong>“. Value investing<\/span><\/strong><\/a> means having faith in the buy\/sell points. I’m going to wait now for the stock to come back up. I would imagine the market will recover once this coronavirus scare passes. Once the weather warms up, the flu bug generally goes away; thus, come May\/June this virus will die a natural death and the market will recover. As always, patience is important here.<\/span><\/p>\n

*As a side note, update on 12\/31\/2020; the virus information back in Feb. 2020 was limited in scope, i.e. there was more misinformation than actual facts; the end result is that the COVID-19 scare turned into a pandemic affecting the markets and how society conducted day to day activities.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Still, overall the fund’s market value is the stock price at close of business today $9,324.95 plus cash in the bank of $1,304.65 for a total of $10,629.60.<\/span><\/p>\n

I noticed that Union Pacific (I consider Union Pacific the highest quality stock within the six Class I railways of the railroad fund) is now at $165.00 even. A 17% drop is the requirement for me to buy; see my article: Union Pacific – Buy\/Sell Model<\/span><\/strong><\/a>. The prior high was on 01\/24\/2020 at 9:55 AM at $188.90. A 17% drop means the price would need to dip to $156.79 before I can purchase any stock. If this happens, I will use the excess cash of $1,304.65 to make a purchase. I will go one step further, if my Norfolk Southern increases in value back to my buy point of about $202 per share, I’ll sell half to buy Union Pacific at this extremely low price. As stated in several of my articles, the key is purchase quality stock at a good price. Union Pacific as of this month is the best quality stock of the existing six railroads to choose from. I am simply reducing my risk at no cost to the fund. It is unlikely Union will drop while Norfolk Southern increases; but at least I conveyed my thinking related to economic substitution<\/span><\/strong><\/a> and its value with reducing risk<\/strong><\/a><\/span>. ACT ON KNOWLEDGE.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n