Revenue ton miles is the most critical key performance indicator for railroads. Revenue is generated when the system moves tonnage. Railroads experience strong gross margins and rarely take financial losses. Determining growth rates and setting discount rates is easier in this industry than in others. Thus, value is driven more by the income statement than the balance sheet.
Value investing is about buying low and selling high. The investor creates a model to set buy/sell triggers and exercises this program with investmetns.
Sold Union Pacific – 23.66% Return in 72 Days Read More »
With options, an owner of stock fears a sudden steep drop in price and thus they may purchase an option called ‘PUTs’ to force someone to buy the stock at a preset price. The key for the owner of a PUT is to set a floor price for their existing stock position. A seller of a PUT desires to own the stock at a certain price if it can get there.
Sold PUTS Norfolk Southern Railroad Read More »
Value investing allows investors to earn outstanding returns with a much lower risk. This is another example of excellent returns on a high quality stock. The example value investment fund purchased Norfolk Southern 13 days ago while the share price was 10% discounted from a prior market peak price. The sell trigger was preset at 103% of the prior peak. The only action that needed to occur is market recovery which happened this morning. The buy/sell frequency was extremely quick for this transaction which accelerates the return on the investment.
13.85% Return in 13 Days! Read More »
From the Lessons Learned article posted a few days ago, in order to gain higher returns, the investment model needs to have greater dispersion with my buy/sell trigger points in its model. Last year, the buy/sell triggers for Union Pacific were a 17% market price decrease from the prior peak and to sell at 100% of prior peak.
This purchase point is driven by the model update whereby market price decreases must hit 18% decrease and the sell point increases to 102% of the prior peak price. This post covers the model update and the associated dollar amounts tied to Union Pacific.
Purchased 114.9557 Shares of Union Pacific Read More »
This morning at the market opening, the railways pool of the Value Investment Fund purchased 98.2849 shares of Norfolk Southern at $202.49. Altogether, including transaction fees of $1 per share, the fund invested $20,000.
Purchased 98.2849 Shares of Norfolk Southern Read More »
Today, I sold 59 PUT options for Union Pacific with a strike price of $170.00 with a final date of February 19, 2021. PUTs are simply selling insurance that if the stock price drops to $170 per share, the Value Investment Fund will have to buy them from the owner of the puts.
Sold PUTS on Railroad Stocks Read More »
On 09/14/2020, Norfolk Southern Railroad’s price hit $220.13 at opening. I set my sell point via an automatic sell at $219.88 and thus the shares automatically sold at $220.13.
Sold 49.060606 Shares of Norfolk Southern Railroad for a 14.97% Annual Gain Read More »
Railroad stock offers good upside potential with very little risk involved. This particular railroad fund is outperforming the DOW Jones Industrial Average by a factor of three.
Railroad Fund Status July 31, 2020 Read More »
49.060606 Shares of Norfolk Southern Corporation – Closes at $175.82/Share FMV = $8,625.84 (Avg Buy Price/Share = $203.83 for Basis of $10,000.00)
Cash Position including recent dividend payment from NSC = $1,555.16
Total Fund Balance = $10,181.00
FMV Gain as a % Since Inception: = 1.81%
Railroad Fund Balance 06/30/2020 Read More »
Value investing is a principle of investing whereby the investor uses ratios and comparative analysis of similar investments over an extended period of time. In this case, I compared the six publicly traded Class I railways in the United States. Then based on the results, I exercise buy and sell points for each stock within the fund. In this case, Union Pacific Railroad’s prior peak (high selling price) was $188.96.
56.67% Return on Investment: Union Pacific Railroad Read More »
